Championship · Northern-IrelandStrabane Athletic vs Loughgall prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Loughgall to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Strabane Athletic 0.9 – 1.9 Loughgall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Loughgall travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 20% for Strabane Athletic.
Strabane Athletic have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Loughgall have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Strabane Athletic, 1.9 for Loughgall). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Loughgall to win at 1.90 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Loughgall to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Loughgall ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.26 | – |
Form
Strabane Athletic – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Warrenpoint Town | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Armagh City | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Ards | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Dundela | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Newry City AFC | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Queen's University | 0–6 | L |
Loughgall – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Moyola Park | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Newry City AFC | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Glenavon FC | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Armagh City | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Queen's University | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Ballinamallard United | 1–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strabane Athletic and Loughgall.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
On our numbers Strabane Athletic have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Loughgall 63%.
How many goals will there be in Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall?
Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.