Championship · Northern-Ireland · Mourneview ParkGlenavon FC vs H&W Welders prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Glenavon FC 1.8 – 1.6 H&W Welders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Glenavon FC hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 35% for H&W Welders.
Glenavon FC have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. H&W Welders have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. Glenavon FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 for Glenavon FC, 1.6 for H&W Welders). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Glenavon FC to win ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Glenavon FC / FT Glenavon FC ✓ | 26% | 3.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.38 | – |
Form
Glenavon FC – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Annagh United | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Moyola Park | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Loughgall | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Newington Youth | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Ballinamallard United | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Dundela | 2–3 | L |
H&W Welders – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Institute | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Rathfriland | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Newry City AFC | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ballinamallard United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Annagh United | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Moyola Park | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Glenavon FC and H&W Welders.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders?
On our numbers Glenavon FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and H&W Welders 35%.
How many goals will there be in Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders?
Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mourneview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.