Championship · Northern-IrelandMoyola Park vs Newington Youth prediction & analysis
Newington Youth to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Moyola Park 1.1 – 2.3 Newington Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newington Youth travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 17% for Moyola Park.
Moyola Park have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Newington Youth have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.1 for Moyola Park, 2.3 for Newington Youth). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Newington Youth to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newington Youth to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Double chance | Newington Youth or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Newington Youth ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newington Youth / FT Newington Youth ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.25 | – |
Form
Moyola Park – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Loughgall | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Glenavon FC | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Queen's University | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ards | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Warrenpoint Town | 2–6 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs H&W Welders | 1–4 | L |
Newington Youth – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Ards | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Institute | 0–7 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ballinamallard United | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Glenavon FC | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Dundela | 5–5 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Warrenpoint Town | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moyola Park and Newington Youth.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Moyola Park vs Newington Youth?
Our pick is Newington Youth to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Newington Youth?
On our numbers Moyola Park have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newington Youth 64%.
How many goals will there be in Moyola Park vs Newington Youth?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Moyola Park vs Newington Youth?
Moyola Park vs Newington Youth (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.