Championship · Northern-IrelandNewington Youth vs Ballinamallard United prediction & analysis
Newington Youth to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newington Youth 2.3 – 1.1 Ballinamallard United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newington Youth are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Ballinamallard United.
Newington Youth have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ballinamallard United have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for Newington Youth, 1.1 for Ballinamallard United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Newington Youth to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newington Youth to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Newington Youth or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Newington Youth ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newington Youth / FT Newington Youth ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.32 | – |
Form
Newington Youth – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Glenavon FC | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Dundela | 5–5 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Warrenpoint Town | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Strabane Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Rathfriland | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Queen's University | 2–1 | W |
Ballinamallard United – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ H&W Welders | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Glenavon FC | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Loughgall | 6–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Annagh United | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Dundela | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Moyola Park | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newington Youth and Ballinamallard United.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
Our pick is Newington Youth to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
On our numbers Newington Youth have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ballinamallard United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.