Championship · Northern-IrelandAnnagh United vs Institute prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Annagh United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Annagh United 2.0 – 1.1 Institute expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Annagh United are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 23% for Institute.
Annagh United have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Institute have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Annagh United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Annagh United, 1.1 for Institute). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Annagh United have won 1, Institute have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Annagh United to win at 1.91 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Annagh United to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Annagh United ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Annagh United / FT Annagh United ✓ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.12 | – |
Form
Annagh United – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Newry City AFC | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs H&W Welders | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Ards | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Ballinamallard United | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Moyola Park | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dundela | 2–2 | D |
Institute – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Warrenpoint Town | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Armagh City | 5–3 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Rathfriland | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Newry City AFC | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Queen's University | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Loughgall | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 17 Feb 2026 | Annagh United v Institute | 3–1 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Annagh United vs Institute?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Annagh United vs Institute?
On our numbers Annagh United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Institute 23%.
How many goals will there be in Annagh United vs Institute?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Annagh United vs Institute?
Annagh United vs Institute (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.