League One · England · Edgeley ParkStockport County vs Barnsley prediction & analysis
Stockport County to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stockport County 2.2 – 0.8 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stockport County are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Barnsley.
Stockport County have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Barnsley have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded. Stockport County come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 for Stockport County, 0.8 for Barnsley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Stockport County to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stockport County to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Stockport County or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Stockport County ahead at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stockport County / FT Stockport County ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Stockport County – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Shrewsbury | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peterborough | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Leicester | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Wigan | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Luton | 0–2 | L |
Barnsley – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Fleetwood Town | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Leeds United U21 | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Leicester | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Peterborough | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Plymouth | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Stevenage | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Barnsley.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley?
Our pick is Stockport County to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Stockport County vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Stockport County have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barnsley 11%.
How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Barnsley?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Stockport County vs Barnsley?
Stockport County vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.