Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlymouth to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Plymouth take on AFC Wimbledon on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Home Park. Plymouth are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while AFC Wimbledon sit 18th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Plymouth's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Newport County 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
AFC Wimbledon's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Barnet 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Plymouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Plymouth and 0.7 for AFC Wimbledon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plymouth 65%, draw 21%, AFC Wimbledon 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Plymouth to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Plymouth 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plymouth65%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
AFC Wimbledon15%fair 6.72 · @5.50
2.41Expected goals
1.75Plymouth xG
0.66AFC Wimbledon xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.7 – 0.7 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Plymouth or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Plymouth ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Plymouth – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Oct
@ Newport County
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Leyton Orient
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Burton Albion
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Crystal Palace U21
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Blackpool
4–2
W
12 Sep
vs Barnsley
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
DDDWWL
6 Oct
vs Barnet
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Doncaster
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Bromley
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burton Albion
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Wimbledon 15%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
