Notts County vs Oxford United prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOxford United to win ✓44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Notts County vs Oxford United preview and prediction
The match
Notts County host Oxford United in the League One on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Meadow Lane. Notts County are 17th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Oxford United sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Notts County's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Grimsby 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Oxford United's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Exeter City 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Oxford United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Notts County and 1.5 for Oxford United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Notts County 35%, draw 22%, Oxford United 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Oxford United to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Notts County 1–1 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notts County35%fair 2.89 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Oxford United44%fair 2.29 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.29Notts County xG
1.48Oxford United xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.3 – 1.5 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford United to win✓
44%
2.29
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Form
Notts County – last 6
WLLDDW
22 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Reading
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Bradford
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Doncaster
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Burton Albion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
DDWWLW
6 Oct
@ Exeter City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Burton Albion
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Leicester
4–0
W
1 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Notts County vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Notts County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oxford United 44%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Oxford United?
Notts County vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
