Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeicester to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Leicester vs Plymouth preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Leicester take on Plymouth on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at King Power Stadium. Leicester are 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Plymouth sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Leicester's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Plymouth's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Bradford 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Plymouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Leicester and 0.8 for Plymouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Leicester to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leicester 1–0 Plymouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leicester63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @3.75
Plymouth20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
2.55Expected goals
1.76Leicester xG
0.80Plymouth xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.8 – 0.8 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✓
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Leicester – last 6
DLLDWL
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Burton Albion
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Notts County
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Genoa
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plymouth – last 6
WLDLWW
29 Aug
vs Bradford
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Coventry
2–4
L
22 Aug
@ Wycombe
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Stockport County
1–3
L
10 Aug
vs Exeter City
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Tavistock
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Plymouth.
Our pick is Leicester to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Leicester vs Plymouth?
On our numbers Leicester have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Plymouth 20%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Plymouth?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Plymouth?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–0 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Plymouth?
Leicester vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
