Tuesday, 10 November 2026 6 live now Results recordHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
League One · England · Eco-Power Stadium
1–1
FT

Doncaster vs Notts County prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Notts County to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDoncaster to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Win chances

Doncaster41%fair 2.46 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Notts County37%fair 2.73 · @3.65
2.69Expected goals
1.39Doncaster xG
1.30Notts County xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Doncaster 1.4 – 1.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Doncaster and Notts County on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Doncaster have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Notts County have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Notts County come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Doncaster, 1.3 for Notts County). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Notts County to win at 3.65 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDoncaster to win ✗41%2.461.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Doncaster / FT Doncaster ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%10.58–

Form

Doncaster – last 6

DLDLDL
29 Aug@ Stevenage2–2D
25 Augvs Middlesbrough1–3L
22 Augvs Barnsley0–0D
15 Aug@ Mansfield Town1–2L
8 Aug@ Stockport County1–1D
1 Augvs Lincoln0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Notts County – last 6

WDDDDL
29 Augvs Burton Albion2–1W
22 Aug@ Luton2–2D
15 Augvs Leicester1–1D
8 Aug@ Burnley1–1D
1 Aug@ Walsall0–0D
18 Julvs Nottingham Forest0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Doncaster and Notts County.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Doncaster vs Notts County?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Doncaster vs Notts County?

On our numbers Doncaster have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Notts County 37%.

How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Notts County?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Doncaster vs Notts County?

Doncaster vs Notts County (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Eco-Power Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.