Doncaster vs Notts County prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Notts County to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Doncaster 1.4 – 1.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Doncaster and Notts County on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Doncaster have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Notts County have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Notts County come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Doncaster, 1.3 for Notts County). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Notts County to win at 3.65 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Doncaster to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 1.97 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Doncaster / FT Doncaster ✗ | 23% | 4.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.58 | – |
Form
Doncaster – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Stevenage | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Middlesbrough | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Barnsley | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Mansfield Town | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Stockport County | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
Notts County – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Burton Albion | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Luton | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Leicester | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Burnley | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Walsall | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Doncaster and Notts County.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Doncaster vs Notts County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Doncaster vs Notts County?
On our numbers Doncaster have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Notts County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Notts County?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Doncaster vs Notts County?
Doncaster vs Notts County (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Eco-Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.























