Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon preview and prediction
The match
AFC Wimbledon travel to Pirelli Stadium in the League One on Wednesday 2 September (19:45 WAT) to face Burton Albion. Burton Albion are 15th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Wimbledon sit 18th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Burton Albion's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Notts County 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AFC Wimbledon's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Wigan 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Burton Albion and 0.9 for AFC Wimbledon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burton Albion 52%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burton Albion52%fair 1.94 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
AFC Wimbledon27%fair 3.74 · @3.80
2.28Expected goals
1.39Burton Albion xG
0.89AFC Wimbledon xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.4 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✓
52%
1.94
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Burton Albion – last 6
LWDLWD
29 Aug
@ Notts County
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Leicester
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Stevenage
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Blackburn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Derby
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
WLDDLD
30 Aug
vs Wigan
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Fulham
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Reading
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Huddersfield
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Newport County
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Wimbledon 27%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
