Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 3.05 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnsley to win ✓39% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Barnsley vs Blackpool preview and prediction
The match
Blackpool travel to Oakwell in the League One on Wednesday 2 September (19:45 WAT) to face Barnsley. Barnsley are 23rd with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Blackpool sit 19th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barnsley's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Leyton Orient 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Blackpool's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Peterborough 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Barnsley and 1.3 for Blackpool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Blackpool to win at 3.05 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Barnsley 1–1 Blackpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barnsley39%fair 2.57 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Blackpool39%fair 2.59 · @3.05
2.60Expected goals
1.30Barnsley xG
1.30Blackpool xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Barnsley 1.3 – 1.3 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnsley to win✓
39%
2.57
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnsley / FT Barnsley✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Barnsley – last 6
WWDLDD
29 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
25 Aug
vs Crewe
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Doncaster
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Bromley
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Wigan
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Guiseley AFC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 6
WLWDWL
29 Aug
vs Peterborough
4–0
W
25 Aug
vs Lincoln
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Stockport County
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Grimsby
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Port Vale
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Blackpool.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Barnsley vs Blackpool?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackpool 39%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is Barnsley 1–1 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barnsley vs Blackpool?
Barnsley vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
