Value bet: Notts County to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeicester to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Notts County vs Leicester preview and prediction
The match
Leicester travel to Meadow Lane in the League One on Saturday 15 August (12:30 WAT) to face Notts County. Notts County are 17th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Leicester sit 10th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Notts County's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Burnley 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Leicester's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Northampton 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leicester arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Notts County and 1.3 for Leicester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Notts County 37%, draw 24%, Leicester 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Notts County to win at 3.65 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Notts County 1–1 Leicester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notts County37%fair 2.69 · @3.65
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Leicester39%fair 2.56 · @2.00
2.61Expected goals
1.29Notts County xG
1.32Leicester xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.3 – 1.3 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
39%
2.56
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Form
Notts County – last 6
DDLLLW
8 Aug
@ Burnley
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Randers FC
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Viborg
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
5–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WLDWWW
8 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Genoa
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Malaga
3–3
D
22 Jul
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Burton Albion
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Leicester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Notts County vs Leicester?
On our numbers Notts County have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leicester 39%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Leicester?
Notts County vs Leicester (League One) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
