Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.02 – our chance 60% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓67% · @1.43
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @2.02
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin preview and prediction
The match
Rubin travel to Lukoil Arena in the Cup on Wednesday 28 October (18:30 WAT) to face Spartak Moscow.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rubin's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Krylia Sovetov 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin. Across their last 4 meetings Spartak Moscow have won 2, Rubin 0, with 2 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Spartak Moscow and 1.1 for Rubin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.02 – 60% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow67%fair 1.49 · @1.43
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.50
Rubin14%fair 6.92 · @8.00
3.58Expected goals
2.48Spartak Moscow xG
1.10Rubin xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.5 – 1.1 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rubin 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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