Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 1.85 – our chance 66% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Rostov to win ✓66% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Rostov or draw ✓87% · @1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
FC Rostov vs Akron preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees FC Rostov take on Akron on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Rostov Arena.
Form guide
FC Rostov's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Akron's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Dynamo 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 October 2026, finished FC Rostov 1–0 Akron. Across their last 3 meetings FC Rostov have won 3, Akron 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for FC Rostov and 0.7 for Akron. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Rostov 66%, draw 22%, Akron 13%.
Safer route: FC Rostov or draw (87%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.89.
Value angle: FC Rostov to win at 1.85 – 66% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Rostov or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Rostov 1–0 Akron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Rostov66%fair 1.53 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.62
Akron13%fair 7.93 · @4.40
2.56Expected goals
1.88FC Rostov xG
0.69Akron xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Rostov 1.9 – 0.7 Akron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Rostov or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Akron?
On our numbers FC Rostov have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Akron 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Akron?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Akron?
Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–0 Akron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Rostov vs Akron?
FC Rostov vs Akron (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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