Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKrylia Sovetov to win ✓58% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Makhachkala travel to Solidarnost Samara Arena in the Cup on Thursday 29 October (15:00 WAT) to face Krylia Sovetov.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Rubin 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Krylia Sovetov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Krylia Sovetov 1–4 Dinamo Makhachkala. Across their last 3 meetings Krylia Sovetov have won 2, Dinamo Makhachkala 1, with 0 draws and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Krylia Sovetov and 0.9 for Dinamo Makhachkala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Krylia Sovetov to win at 1.93 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov58%fair 1.73 · @1.93
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.56
Dinamo Makhachkala22%fair 4.55 · @4.05
2.50Expected goals
1.64Krylia Sovetov xG
0.86Dinamo Makhachkala xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.6 – 0.9 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dinamo Makhachkala 22%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSKA Moscow3
Lokomotiv1
Baltika2
Zenit3