Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.89 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win ✓61% · @1.89
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓82% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Baltika vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
Baltika host Zenit in the Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Rostec Arena.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with FC Krasnodar 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 September 2026, finished Baltika 2–3 Zenit. Across their last 4 meetings Baltika have won 0, Zenit 4, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Baltika and 1.5 for Zenit. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 18%, draw 22%, Zenit 61%.
Safer route: Zenit or draw (82%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Zenit to win at 1.89 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zenit or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Baltika 0–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika18%fair 5.67 · @4.35
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.48
Zenit61%fair 1.65 · @1.89
2.17Expected goals
0.64Baltika xG
1.53Zenit xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Baltika 0.6 – 1.5 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
On our numbers Baltika have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zenit 61%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Baltika 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Zenit?
Baltika vs Zenit (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Krylia Sovetov2
Dinamo Makhachkala0
CSKA Moscow3
Lokomotiv1