Fakel travel to Ozon Arena in the Cup on Tuesday 13 October (18:45 WAT) to face FC Krasnodar.
Form guide
FC Krasnodar's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Zenit 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv 0–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Fakel 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Across their last 2 meetings FC Krasnodar have won 1, Fakel 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for FC Krasnodar and 0.6 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Krasnodar 69%, draw 18%, Fakel 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.02.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Krasnodar69%fair 1.46 · @1.41
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.95
Fakel14%fair 7.36 · @7.40
2.39Expected goals
1.80FC Krasnodar xG
0.59Fakel xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.8 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fakel 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
FC Krasnodar vs Fakel (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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