Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Fakel vs FC Krasnodar preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Fakel take on FC Krasnodar on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fakel Stadium.
Form guide
Fakel's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
FC Krasnodar's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FC Rostov 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Krasnodar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished FC Krasnodar 3–2 Fakel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Fakel and 1.7 for FC Krasnodar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fakel 15%, draw 23%, FC Krasnodar 62%.
Safer route: FC Krasnodar or draw (85%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.89.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Fakel 0–1 FC Krasnodar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel15%fair 6.56 · @5.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.05
FC Krasnodar62%fair 1.61 · @1.68
2.37Expected goals
0.68Fakel xG
1.69FC Krasnodar xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fakel 0.7 – 1.7 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Fakel have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Krasnodar 62%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
Fakel vs FC Krasnodar (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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