Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 2.04 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗52% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Akron vs Lokomotiv preview and prediction
The match
Akron host Lokomotiv in the Cup on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Samara Arena.
Form guide
Akron's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with CSKA Moscow 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lokomotiv's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Dynamo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Akron arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Lokomotiv 0–0 Akron. Across their last 3 meetings Akron have won 0, Lokomotiv 2, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Akron and 1.6 for Lokomotiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akron 28%, draw 20%, Lokomotiv 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Lokomotiv to win at 2.04 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Akron 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron28%fair 3.59 · @3.48
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.82
Lokomotiv52%fair 1.92 · @2.04
2.59Expected goals
1.04Akron xG
1.56Lokomotiv xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Akron 1.0 – 1.6 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Akron vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Akron have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotiv 52%.
How many goals will there be in Akron vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Akron 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akron vs Lokomotiv?
Akron vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fakel1
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CSKA Moscow0