Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Baltika take on Krylia Sovetov on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Rostec Arena.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Rodina Moskva 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Akhmat 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Baltika. Across their last 2 meetings Baltika have won 2, Krylia Sovetov 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Baltika and 0.6 for Krylia Sovetov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 63%, draw 19%, Krylia Sovetov 17%.
Safer route: Baltika or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baltika or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Baltika 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.64
Krylia Sovetov17%fair 5.80 · @4.60
2.26Expected goals
1.61Baltika xG
0.64Krylia Sovetov xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.6 – 0.6 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Baltika or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Baltika have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Krylia Sovetov 17%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?
Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Orenburg1
Rubin1
Zenit3
Dinamo Makhachkala0
Spartak Moscow3
Rodina Moskva1