Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 2.65 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✗40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Moscow travel to RZD Arena in the Cup on Tuesday 4 August (18:45 WAT) to face Lokomotiv.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA Moscow's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Krylia Sovetov 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lokomotiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 July 2026, finished Lokomotiv 1–0 CSKA Moscow. Across their last 2 meetings Lokomotiv have won 1, CSKA Moscow 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Lokomotiv and 1.4 for CSKA Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 2.65 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv37%fair 2.71 · @2.67
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.48
CSKA Moscow40%fair 2.50 · @2.65
2.80Expected goals
1.37Lokomotiv xG
1.44CSKA Moscow xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.4 – 1.4 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSKA Moscow 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Akron0
FC Rostov4
Dinamo Makhachkala1
Krylia Sovetov2
Rodina Moskva5
Rubin0