Value bet: Sheffield Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth host Sheffield Utd in the Championship on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Sheffield Utd sit 10th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Southampton 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sheffield Utd's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Lincoln 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Portsmouth and 1.2 for Sheffield Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sheffield Utd to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 Sheffield Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Sheffield Utd37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.29Portsmouth xG
1.24Sheffield Utd xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.2 Sheffield Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✓
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Portsmouth – last 6
LDDWLL
11 Oct
@ Southampton
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Blackburn
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Charlton
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Cardiff
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Derby
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Bristol City
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sheffield Utd – last 6
WLLLWL
10 Oct
vs Lincoln
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Stoke City
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Wolves
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Norwich
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sheffield Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Sheffield Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
