Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe Strongest to win ✗74% · @1.13
Double chanceThe Strongest or draw ✗91% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees The Strongest take on Independiente Petrolero on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 22:15 (WAT) at Estadio Hernando Siles. The Strongest are 3rd with 48 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Independiente Petrolero sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The Strongest's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Nacional Potosí 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Independiente Petrolero's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Aurora 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
The Strongest arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for The Strongest and 0.8 for Independiente Petrolero. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: The Strongest 74%, draw 17%, Independiente Petrolero 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: The Strongest 3–0 Independiente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The Strongest74%fair 1.35 · @1.13
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @6.80
Independiente Petrolero9%fair 11.55 · @14.00
3.28Expected goals
2.50The Strongest xG
0.78Independiente Petrolero xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: The Strongest 2.5 – 0.8 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The Strongest to win✗
74%
1.35
1.13
Double chance
The Strongest or draw✗
91%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Half-time result
The Strongest ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The Strongest / FT The Strongest✗
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
The Strongest – last 6
WDDDWD
5 Aug
@ Nacional Potosí
3–2
W
31 Jul
vs Aurora
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Blooming
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Oriente Petrolero
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Bolívar
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente Petrolero – last 6
DWLLLL
4 Aug
vs Aurora
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Oruro
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Oriente Petrolero
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Real Potosí
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ ABB
1–3
L
13 Jul
@ Real Tomayapo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The Strongest and Independiente Petrolero.
What is the prediction for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
On our numbers The Strongest have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Independiente Petrolero 9%.
How many goals will there be in The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is The Strongest 3–0 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
