Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +78%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.20
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✓85% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
FC UFA vs Leningradets preview and prediction
The match
Leningradets travel to BetBoom Arena in the First League on Saturday 11 July (13:00 WAT) to face FC UFA. FC UFA are 8th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Leningradets sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC UFA's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Rotor Volgograd 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Leningradets's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Leningradets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for FC UFA and 1.1 for Leningradets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC UFA 30%, draw 56%, Leningradets 15%.
Safer route: FC UFA or draw (85%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 56% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC UFA or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC UFA 1–1 Leningradets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC UFA30%fair 3.38 · @1.98
Draw56%fair 1.80 · @3.20
Leningradets15%fair 6.76 · @3.82
2.41Expected goals
1.36FC UFA xG
1.05Leningradets xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: FC UFA 1.4 – 1.1 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.80
3.20 ▲
Double chance
FC UFA or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.92 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC UFA / FT FC UFA✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
FC UFA – last 6
LWLDDL
28 Jun
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
10 May
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Ural
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
LDWWLW
4 Jul
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–3
L
13 Jun
@ Veles
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Torpedo Miass
3–1
W
31 May
@ Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
27 May
vs Volgar Astrakhan
0–1
L
23 May
@ Kaluga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Leningradets?
Our pick is FC UFA or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win FC UFA vs Leningradets?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Leningradets 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–1 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Leningradets?
FC UFA vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
