Value bet: Portadown to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortadown to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts preview and prediction
The match
Dungannon Swifts travel to Shamrock Park in the Premiership on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT) to face Portadown. Portadown are 12th with 9 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Dungannon Swifts sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Portadown's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Carrick Rangers 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dungannon Swifts's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Coleraine FC 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Portadown and 1.3 for Dungannon Swifts. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Portadown to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Portadown 1–1 Dungannon Swifts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portadown41%fair 2.46 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Dungannon Swifts37%fair 2.74 · @2.38
2.61Expected goals
1.35Portadown xG
1.26Dungannon Swifts xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portadown 1.3 – 1.3 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portadown to win✗
41%
2.46
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portadown / FT Portadown✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Portadown – last 6
LWWLDW
8 Aug
@ Carrick Rangers
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Kilbarrack United
3–0
W
21 Jul
@ H&W Welders
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Coleraine FC
0–3
L
7 Jul
@ Bourneview Mill
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Ballyclare Comrades
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dungannon Swifts – last 6
LWDWWD
8 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Moyola Park
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ H&W Welders
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Oxford Sunnyside
1–0
W
21 Jul
@ Loughgall
4–1
W
18 Jul
@ Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portadown and Dungannon Swifts.
What is the prediction for Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Portadown have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dungannon Swifts 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Portadown 1–1 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamrock Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
