Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarrick Rangers to win ✓49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Limavady United take on Carrick Rangers on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Limavady Showgrounds. Limavady United are 10th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Carrick Rangers sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Limavady United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Glentoran 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Carrick Rangers's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Portadown 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carrick Rangers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Limavady United and 1.3 for Carrick Rangers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Limavady United 31%, draw 21%, Carrick Rangers 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Limavady United 0–1 Carrick Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Limavady United31%fair 3.24 · @2.95
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.45
Carrick Rangers49%fair 2.06 · @2.10
2.22Expected goals
0.93Limavady United xG
1.29Carrick Rangers xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Limavady United 0.9 – 1.3 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrick Rangers to win✓
49%
2.06
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrick Rangers / FT Carrick Rangers✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Limavady United – last 6
LWLWDL
8 Aug
@ Glentoran
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Strabane Athletic
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Linfield
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Institute
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Ballinamallard United
0–0
D
7 Jul
vs Coleraine FC
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Carrick Rangers – last 6
WLWLWW
8 Aug
vs Portadown
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Ballyclare Comrades
1–8
L
28 Jul
vs Ards
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Ballymena United
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Queen's University
5–3
W
18 Jul
@ H&W Welders
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Limavady United and Carrick Rangers.
What is the prediction for Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers?
On our numbers Limavady United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carrick Rangers 49%.
How many goals will there be in Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Limavady United 0–1 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers?
Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Limavady Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
