Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Ried to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRied to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceRied or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Ried take on Wolfsberger AC on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Josko Arena. Ried are 6th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Wolfsberger AC sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ried's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Wolfsberger AC's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Rapid Vienna 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ried arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Ried 2–1 Wolfsberger AC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Ried and 0.8 for Wolfsberger AC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ried 63%, draw 21%, Wolfsberger AC 16%.
Safer route: Ried or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Ried to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ried or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ried 1–0 Wolfsberger AC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ried63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Wolfsberger AC16%fair 6.20 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.91Ried xG
0.84Wolfsberger AC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ried 1.9 – 0.8 Wolfsberger AC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our pick is Ried or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
On our numbers Ried have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wolfsberger AC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–0 Wolfsberger AC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Josko Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
