Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRapid Vienna to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Rapid Vienna take on Sturm Graz on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Allianz Stadion. Rapid Vienna are 1st with 33 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Sturm Graz sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rapid Vienna's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Sturm Graz's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Austria Lustenau 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rapid Vienna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Sturm Graz 2–0 Rapid Vienna. Across their last 2 meetings Rapid Vienna have won 0, Sturm Graz 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Rapid Vienna and 1.3 for Sturm Graz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rapid Vienna47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.70
Sturm Graz34%fair 2.97 · @2.95
2.88Expected goals
1.59Rapid Vienna xG
1.29Sturm Graz xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Rapid Vienna 1.6 – 1.3 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Rapid Vienna have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sturm Graz 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
