Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.64
TSV Hartberg vs Ried preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees TSV Hartberg take on Ried on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Profertil Arena Hartberg. TSV Hartberg are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Ried sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
TSV Hartberg's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat SCR Altach 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ried's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Grazer AK 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for TSV Hartberg and 1.2 for Ried. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TSV Hartberg 39%, draw 24%, Ried 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: TSV Hartberg to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Ried. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSV Hartberg39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Ried38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.26TSV Hartberg xG
1.24Ried xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.3 – 1.2 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Hartberg to win✓
39%
2.59
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Hartberg / FT TSV Hartberg✓
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.64
–
Form
TSV Hartberg – last 6
WLLLWL
22 Aug
@ SCR Altach
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sturm Graz
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Imst
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Voitsberg
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ried – last 6
WLLDWL
21 Aug
vs Grazer AK
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Lask Linz
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Rapid Vienna
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Austria Lustenau
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Dornbirn
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Ried.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ried 38%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
TSV Hartberg vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Profertil Arena Hartberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
