Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Olimpia Grudziądz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia Grudziądz to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia Grudziądz to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceOlimpia Grudziądz or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Olimpia Grudziądz take on Podhale Nowy Targ on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Olimpia Grudziądz are 10th with 22 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Podhale Nowy Targ sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olimpia Grudziądz's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Podhale Nowy Targ's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Resovia Rzeszów 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Podhale Nowy Targ 1–2 Olimpia Grudziądz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.2 for Podhale Nowy Targ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Safer route: Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Olimpia Grudziądz to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olimpia Grudziądz or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olimpia Grudziądz 2–1 Podhale Nowy Targ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia Grudziądz59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Podhale Nowy Targ16%fair 6.45 · @3.40
3.50Expected goals
2.31Olimpia Grudziądz xG
1.19Podhale Nowy Targ xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Olimpia Grudziądz 2.3 – 1.2 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Olimpia Grudziądz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Olimpia Grudziądz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Podhale Nowy Targ 16%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Olimpia Grudziądz 2–1 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
