II Liga East · PolandAvia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra prediction & analysis
Avia Świdnik or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Avia Świdnik to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avia Świdnik 2.4 – 1.2 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Avia Świdnik are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Avia Świdnik have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lechia Zielona Góra have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Avia Świdnik come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.4 for Avia Świdnik, 1.2 for Lechia Zielona Góra). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Avia Świdnik or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Avia Świdnik to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avia Świdnik to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Avia Świdnik or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Avia Świdnik ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avia Świdnik / FT Avia Świdnik ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.59 | – |
Form
Avia Świdnik – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Stal Stalowa Wola | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Górnik Łęczna | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Olimpia Grudziądz | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ Stal Stalowa Wola | 2–2 | D |
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Hutnik Kraków | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Sokół Kleczew | 6–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Olimpia Grudziądz | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Miedź Legnica II | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avia Świdnik and Lechia Zielona Góra.
II Liga East table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Znicz Pruszków | 15 | +12 | 33 |
| 2 |  Górnik Łęczna | 15 | +18 | 29 |
| 3 |  Tychy 71 | 14 | +11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Chojniczanka Chojnice | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa II | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Podhale Nowy Targ | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Lechia Zielona Góra | 15 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 |  Olimpia Grudziądz | 15 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Hutnik Kraków | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Avia Świdnik | 15 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stal Stalowa Wola | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 15 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Sokół Kleczew | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 |  Świt Skolwin | 15 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Śląsk Wrocław II | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  Resovia Rzeszów | 15 | -16 | 6 |
More II Liga East predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Avia Świdnik or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Avia Świdnik have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lechia Zielona Góra 17%.
How many goals will there be in Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.