Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Hilal Saudi FC to win ✓72% · @1.12
Double chanceAl-Hilal Saudi FC or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC preview and prediction
The match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC travel to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium in the King's Cup on Monday 17 August (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Raed.
Form guide
Al-Raed's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Abha 5–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Al-Faisaly FC 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.1 for Al-Raed and 2.8 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Raed 13%, draw 15%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al-Raed 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Raed13%fair 7.90 · @16.50
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @7.40
Al-Hilal Saudi FC72%fair 1.39 · @1.12
3.90Expected goals
1.12Al-Raed xG
2.78Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG
63%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Al-Raed 1.1 – 2.8 Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win✓
72%
1.39
1.12
Double chance
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Half-time result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Hilal Saudi FC / FT Al-Hilal Saudi FC✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Al-Raed – last 6
WLWLWD
13 May
vs Abha
5–1
W
27 Apr
vs Al-Faisaly FC
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Al Diriyah
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Al Orubah
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Jeddah Club
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Al Wehda Club
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Hilal Saudi FC – last 6
WDWWDW
14 Aug
vs Al-Faisaly FC
4–2
W
3 Aug
vs Al Ahli Doha
3–3
D
19 Jul
@ Sturm Graz II
2–1
W
21 May
@ Al-Fayha
1–0
W
12 May
@ Al-Nassr
1–1
D
8 May
@ Al Kholood
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Raed and Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
What is the prediction for Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
On our numbers Al-Raed have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Our predicted score is Al-Raed 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (King's Cup) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.