King's Cup · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium
Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 55% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Taee 1.0 – 2.8 Al-Qadisiyah FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC travel as clear favourites – 74% to win, against 12% for Al Taee.
Al Taee have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Al-Qadisiyah FC have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Al-Qadisiyah FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.0 for Al Taee, 2.8 for Al-Qadisiyah FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.55 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al-Qadisiyah FC to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| Double chance | Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 2.55 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.70 |
| Half-time result | Al-Qadisiyah FC ahead at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al-Qadisiyah FC / FT Al-Qadisiyah FC ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.34 | – |
Form
Al Taee – last 6
| 13 May | vs Jeddah Club | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | @ Al Zulfi | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | vs Abha | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | @ Al-Faisaly FC | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Apr | vs Al Bukayriyah | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | vs Al Anwar | 1–1 | D |
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 6
| 13 Aug | @ Al Shabab | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Levante | 0–1 | L |
| 21 May | @ Al-Ittihad FC | 5–1 | W |
| 14 May | vs Al-Hazm | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | @ Al Riyadh | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | vs Al Shabab | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Taee and Al-Qadisiyah FC.
More King's Cup predictions
Al Anwar1
Al-Ahli Jeddah2
Al Zulfi0
Al Riyadh2
Al-Adalah0
Al-Fayha2
Al-Raed0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
On our numbers Al Taee have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Al-Qadisiyah FC 74%.
How many goals will there be in Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al Taee vs Al-Qadisiyah FC (King's Cup) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.