Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Zenit vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
Zenit host Akhmat in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Gazprom Arena. Zenit are 1st with 31 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Akhmat sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zenit's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Akhmat's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Dynamo 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Zenit and 0.9 for Akhmat. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zenit 65%, draw 18%, Akhmat 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.99.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Zenit 2–0 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zenit65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.05
Akhmat17%fair 5.89 · @9.20
2.94Expected goals
2.03Zenit xG
0.90Akhmat xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Zenit 2.0 – 0.9 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.41
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Zenit – last 6
WWWDWW
14 Oct
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ FC Krasnodar
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Baltika
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
LDLWDL
14 Oct
vs Dynamo
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Baltika
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Akron
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–2
W
7 Sep
@ Rubin
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Dynamo
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit and Akhmat.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Zenit vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Zenit have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Akhmat 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zenit vs Akhmat?
Zenit vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
