Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 3.88 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗46% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Baltika vs FC Rostov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Baltika take on FC Rostov on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Rostec Arena. Baltika are 9th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while FC Rostov sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Krylia Sovetov 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Rostov's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Rostov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Baltika and 1.1 for FC Rostov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 46%, draw 23%, FC Rostov 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.04.
Value angle: FC Rostov to win at 3.88 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Baltika 1–1 FC Rostov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika46%fair 2.16 · @2.13
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.18
FC Rostov30%fair 3.28 · @3.88
2.47Expected goals
1.40Baltika xG
1.07FC Rostov xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.4 – 1.1 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
46%
2.16
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.04 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Baltika – last 6
WDLDLD
14 Oct
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Akhmat
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Zenit
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Fakel
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Lokomotiv
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 6
LWLLWW
14 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
0–4
L
9 Oct
vs Akron
1–0
W
17 Sep
vs Dynamo
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Fakel
3–1
W
1 Sep
vs CSKA Moscow
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and FC Rostov.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Baltika vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Baltika have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Rostov 30%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs FC Rostov?
Baltika vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
