Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.52 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar preview and prediction
The match
FC Krasnodar travel to RZD Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October (17:30 WAT) to face Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while FC Krasnodar sit 4th on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Akron 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Krasnodar's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Fakel 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lokomotiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Lokomotiv and 1.5 for FC Krasnodar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv 33%, draw 21%, FC Krasnodar 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Lokomotiv to win at 3.52 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv33%fair 3.06 · @3.52
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
FC Krasnodar46%fair 2.16 · @2.12
2.62Expected goals
1.16Lokomotiv xG
1.46FC Krasnodar xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.2 – 1.5 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
46%
2.16
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
DWWDLW
13 Oct
vs Akron
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Fakel
5–0
W
3 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Zenit
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 6
LLDDDD
13 Oct
vs Fakel
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Zenit
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ FC Orenburg
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Akron
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Fakel
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Krasnodar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
