Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Spartak Moscow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.71 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗63% · @1.71
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓87% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Moscow travel to Solidarnost Samara Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October (15:30 WAT) to face Krylia Sovetov. Krylia Sovetov are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Fakel 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 3–2 Krylia Sovetov. Across their last 2 meetings Krylia Sovetov have won 1, Spartak Moscow 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Krylia Sovetov and 2.0 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (87%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.64.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.71 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov13%fair 7.86 · @4.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @4.10
Spartak Moscow63%fair 1.59 · @1.71
2.87Expected goals
0.84Krylia Sovetov xG
2.02Spartak Moscow xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.8 – 2.0 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Moscow 63%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
