CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva travel to VEB Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October (14:30 WAT) to face CSKA Moscow. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Rodina Moskva sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rodina Moskva's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Dynamo 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CSKA Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for CSKA Moscow and 0.8 for Rodina Moskva. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Moscow 70%, draw 21%, Rodina Moskva 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.71.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Moscow to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow70%fair 1.43 · @1.41
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @5.15
Rodina Moskva9%fair 11.46 · @7.30
3.15Expected goals
2.36CSKA Moscow xG
0.80Rodina Moskva xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 2.4 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
70%
1.43
1.41
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WWDWLD
4 Oct
vs Arsenal Tula
3–1
W
17 Sep
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Rubin
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Zenit
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ FC Rostov
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Akron
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LDLLLL
4 Oct
@ Dynamo
2–3
L
16 Sep
vs Rubin
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Baltika
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is CSKA Moscow to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rodina Moskva 9%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
