Fakel host Zenit in the Premier League on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Fakel Stadium. Fakel are 16th with 6 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fakel's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with FC Orenburg 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Zenit's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Fakel and 2.0 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fakel 8%, draw 21%, Zenit 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.07.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zenit to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fakel 0–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel8%fair 11.81 · @6.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.15
Zenit70%fair 1.42 · @1.53
2.53Expected goals
0.56Fakel xG
1.98Zenit xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fakel 0.6 – 2.0 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
70%
1.42
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.07 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.37
–
Form
Fakel – last 6
DLLDLL
22 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Akhmat
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
0–1
L
10 Aug
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
LDWLWW
23 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dynamo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
5 Aug
vs Baltika
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ FC Orenburg
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Zenit.
Our pick is Zenit to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fakel vs Zenit?
On our numbers Fakel have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zenit 70%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Zenit?
Fakel vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
