Value bet: Akhmat to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkhmat to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Akhmat take on Krylia Sovetov on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Akhmat-Arena. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Krylia Sovetov sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat FC Rostov 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Akron 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Akhmat and 0.9 for Krylia Sovetov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Akhmat to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Krylia Sovetov22%fair 4.56 · @4.10
2.50Expected goals
1.64Akhmat xG
0.86Krylia Sovetov xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.6 – 0.9 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Akhmat – last 6
WWLDDL
22 Aug
vs FC Rostov
4–1
W
18 Aug
vs Fakel
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Fakel
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
WDLLWD
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Baltika
0–2
L
4 Aug
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Krylia Sovetov 22%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
