Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓59% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees CSKA Moscow take on Lokomotiv on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at VEB Arena. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Akron 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lokomotiv's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to FC Rostov 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CSKA Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 August 2026, finished Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Across their last 3 meetings CSKA Moscow have won 1, Lokomotiv 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for CSKA Moscow and 0.7 for Lokomotiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 1.94 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow59%fair 1.69 · @1.94
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.78
Lokomotiv21%fair 4.83 · @3.82
2.27Expected goals
1.53CSKA Moscow xG
0.74Lokomotiv xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.5 – 0.7 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotiv 21%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
