Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 3.12 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkhmat to win ✓40% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Akhmat vs FC Rostov preview and prediction
The match
FC Rostov travel to Akhmat-Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August (16:00 WAT) to face Akhmat. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while FC Rostov sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Fakel 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Rostov's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Rostov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Akhmat 1–0 FC Rostov.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Akhmat and 1.1 for FC Rostov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akhmat 40%, draw 25%, FC Rostov 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.87.
Value angle: FC Rostov to win at 3.12 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat40%fair 2.51 · @2.47
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.16
FC Rostov35%fair 2.87 · @3.12
2.26Expected goals
1.18Akhmat xG
1.08FC Rostov xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.2 – 1.1 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Rostov 35%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Akhmat vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
