Value bet: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @ 3.02 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Makhachkala to win ✓39% · @3.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Krylia Sovetov take on Dinamo Makhachkala on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Dinamo Makhachkala sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Baltika 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Dynamo 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 August 2026, finished Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Krylia Sovetov. Across their last 2 meetings Krylia Sovetov have won 2, Dinamo Makhachkala 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.2 for Dinamo Makhachkala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Dinamo Makhachkala to win at 3.02 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov36%fair 2.81 · @2.56
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.12
Dinamo Makhachkala39%fair 2.57 · @3.02
2.37Expected goals
1.15Krylia Sovetov xG
1.22Dinamo Makhachkala xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.1 – 1.2 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Makhachkala 39%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
