Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓57% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Akhmat take on Spartak Moscow on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Akhmat-Arena. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Rodina Moskva 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 3–1 Akhmat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Akhmat and 1.7 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat22%fair 4.52 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.62
Spartak Moscow57%fair 1.77 · @1.94
2.58Expected goals
0.92Akhmat xG
1.67Spartak Moscow xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Akhmat 0.9 – 1.7 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Moscow 57%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
