Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFakel to win ✗39% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.41
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Makhachkala travel to Fakel Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 25 July (16:30 WAT) to face Fakel. Fakel are 16th with 6 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Dinamo Makhachkala sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fakel's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to FC Rostov 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Dinamo St. Petersburg 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Fakel and 1.0 for Dinamo Makhachkala. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.51. Predicted score: Fakel 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel39%fair 2.54 · @2.56
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.10
Dinamo Makhachkala35%fair 2.86 · @3.12
2.15Expected goals
1.12Fakel xG
1.03Dinamo Makhachkala xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.1 – 1.0 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win✗
39%
2.54
2.56
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.41
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Fakel – last 6
LDWDDD
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6
WDLWLW
16 Jul
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
3–1
W
13 Jul
@ Zenit
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–3
L
4 Jul
vs Leningradets
3–0
W
1 Jul
@ Zenit
0–2
L
23 May
vs Ural
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala.
What is the prediction for Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Fakel have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Makhachkala 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.