Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 1.77 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceOstersunds FK or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK preview and prediction
The match
The Svenska Cupen sees Arlanda take on Ostersunds FK on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostersunds FK's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with IFK Varnamo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostersunds FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Arlanda and 1.8 for Ostersunds FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 12%, draw 22%, Ostersunds FK 65%.
Safer route: Ostersunds FK or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 1.77 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ostersunds FK or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arlanda 0–1 Ostersunds FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda12%fair 8.23 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
Ostersunds FK65%fair 1.53 · @1.77
2.39Expected goals
0.61Arlanda xG
1.77Ostersunds FK xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–39%
From our goals model: Arlanda 0.6 – 1.8 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostersunds FK to win✓
65%
1.53
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Ostersunds FK or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Half-time result
Ostersunds FK ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
Arlanda – last 6
LDLWWW
16 Aug
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Piteå
0–0
D
3 Aug
@ Hammarby Talang
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Haninge
6–1
W
27 Jun
vs IF Karlstad
1–0
W
23 Jun
@ Järfälla
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ostersunds FK – last 6
DWWDWW
16 Aug
@ IFK Varnamo
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Osters IF
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Norrby IF
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Landskrona BoIS
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ GIF Sundsvall
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Ostersunds FK.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Ostersunds FK or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ostersunds FK 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 0–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasalund1
IFK Norrkoping1
Hässleholms IF0
Landskrona BoIS0