Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✗63% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.06
Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping preview and prediction
The match
The Svenska Cupen sees Vasalund take on IFK Norrkoping on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Vasalund's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Piteå 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
IFK Norrkoping's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sandviken 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IFK Norrkoping arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Vasalund and 1.4 for IFK Norrkoping. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 56% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vasalund 0–1 IFK Norrkoping. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasalund19%fair 5.39 · @5.60
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
IFK Norrkoping63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
1.98Expected goals
0.55Vasalund xG
1.43IFK Norrkoping xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Vasalund 0.6 – 1.4 IFK Norrkoping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.45 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.06
–
Form
Vasalund – last 6
DWDLLD
16 Aug
@ Piteå
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–0
W
3 Aug
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Assyriska FF
1–3
L
18 Jun
vs Karlberg
0–4
L
14 Jun
@ Enköping
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
IFK Norrkoping – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Sandviken
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs IK brage
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Helsingborg
2–0
W
28 Jul
@ Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Sandviken
3–0
W
28 Jun
vs Norrby IF
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and IFK Norrkoping.
What is the prediction for Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and IFK Norrkoping 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 0–1 IFK Norrkoping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hässleholms IF0
Landskrona BoIS0
Arlanda1
Ostersunds FK2