Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Zamora FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Zamora FC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora FC to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceZamora FC or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC preview and prediction
The match
Zamora FC travel to face Atletico el Vigia FC in the Copa Venezuela on Wednesday 14 October (20:30 WAT). Atletico el Vigia FC are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Zamora FC sit 1st on 13 points.
Form guide
Atletico el Vigia FC's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Real Frontera 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Zamora FC's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Caracas FC 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico el Vigia FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 June 2026, finished Zamora FC 6–1 Atletico el Vigia FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.6 for Atletico el Vigia FC and 2.5 for Zamora FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico el Vigia FC 20%, draw 25%, Zamora FC 55%.
Safer route: Zamora FC or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Zamora FC to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zamora FC or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico el Vigia FC 1–2 Zamora FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico el Vigia FC20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Zamora FC55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
4.10Expected goals
1.58Atletico el Vigia FC xG
2.52Zamora FC xG
68%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
1–17%
2–27%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Atletico el Vigia FC 1.6 – 2.5 Zamora FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC?
Our pick is Zamora FC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC?
On our numbers Atletico el Vigia FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zamora FC 55%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC?
Our predicted score is Atletico el Vigia FC 1–2 Zamora FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC?
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Zamora FC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.