Value bet: Yaracuyanos FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYaracuyanos FC to win ✓39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC preview and prediction
The match
Yaracuyanos FC travel to face Aragua FC in the Copa Venezuela on Wednesday 26 August (21:00 WAT). Aragua FC are 2nd with 10 points from 6 games, while Yaracuyanos FC sit 3rd on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aragua FC's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Mineros de Guyana 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Yaracuyanos FC's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Caracas FC 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yaracuyanos FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Aragua FC and 1.6 for Yaracuyanos FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aragua FC 34%, draw 27%, Yaracuyanos FC 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Yaracuyanos FC to win at 3.20 – 39% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aragua FC 1–1 Yaracuyanos FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragua FC34%fair 2.92 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Yaracuyanos FC39%fair 2.58 · @3.20
3.00Expected goals
1.45Aragua FC xG
1.55Yaracuyanos FC xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aragua FC 1.4 – 1.6 Yaracuyanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yaracuyanos FC to win✓
39%
2.58
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yaracuyanos FC / FT Yaracuyanos FC✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.52
–
Form
Aragua FC – last 6
DLDWLD
23 Aug
@ Mineros de Guyana
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Fundación Lara Deportiva
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Atletico Avila FC
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Petare FC
1–2
L
24 Jun
@ Caracas FC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Yaracuyanos FC – last 6
LDWDDW
18 Aug
vs Caracas FC
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Puerto Cabello II
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Real Frontera
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Deportivo Lara
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Atletico el Vigia FC
0–0
D
24 Jun
@ Fundación Lara Deportiva
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aragua FC and Yaracuyanos FC.
What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?
On our numbers Aragua FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Yaracuyanos FC 39%.
How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?
Our predicted score is Aragua FC 1–1 Yaracuyanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?
Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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